Over 1.5 goals@1.53
Over 1.5
65%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 7Saturday, 24 October 2026 · RheinEnergieStadion
1. FC Köln
13th · 9 pts0–0FULL TIME
FC Schalke 04
17th · 6 pts48% 1.
28% Draw
24% FC
OUR PICK
1. FC Köln to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.10
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.88
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.10X3.5924.09
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
57%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
Season stats
1. FC KölnFC Schalke 041.1Goals per game0.5
1.5Conceded per game1.1
1.13Points per game0.75
25%Win rate13%
-3Goal difference-5
5Form, last 5 (pts)2
1. FC Köln form
DWDLWA Union Berlin1–1
H Union Berlin5–0
H FC Schalke 040–0
A Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
H Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1
FC Schalke 04 form
LLDLLH RB Leipzig0–2
A Dynamo Dresden2–0
A 1. FC Köln0–0
H FSV Mainz 050–1
A SC Freiburg2–1
Head to head
0
1.
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
Match preview
Our model makes 1. FC Köln slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.35 for 1. FC Köln, 0.88 for FC Schalke 04), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Köln sit 13th on 9 points; FC Schalke 04 are 17th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.