Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 9Sunday, 8 November 2026 · RheinEnergieStadion
1. FC Köln
13th · 9 pts15:30KICK-OFF WAT
Bayer Leverkusen
6th · 13 pts38% 1.
23% Draw
39% Bayer
OUR PICK
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.68
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.65X4.3622.54
Goals 2.5Over1.55Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen1.1Goals per game2.3
1.5Conceded per game2.0
1.13Points per game1.63
25%Win rate50%
-3Goal difference2
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
1. FC Köln form
DWDLWA Union Berlin1–1
H Union Berlin5–0
H FC Schalke 040–0
A Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
H Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1
Bayer Leverkusen form
LWLWWH VfB Stuttgart2–4
H 1. FC Nürnberg5–2
A 1899 Hoffenheim3–0
A OFI0–2
H SC Freiburg2–1
Head to head
0
1.
0
Draw
5
Bayer
Apr 20261. FC Köln – Bayer Leverkusen1–2
Dec 2025Bayer Leverkusen – 1. FC Köln2–0
Feb 2025Bayer Leverkusen – 1. FC Köln3–2
Mar 20241. FC Köln – Bayer Leverkusen0–2
Oct 2023Bayer Leverkusen – 1. FC Köln3–0
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: 1. FC Köln 38%, the draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.64 for 1. FC Köln, 1.68 for Bayer Leverkusen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Köln sit 13th on 9 points; Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.