GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 9Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim

6th · 15 pts

1–1FULL TIME

Energie Cottbus

14th · 10 pts

51% 1.

19% Draw

30% Energie

OUR PICK

1. FC Heidenheim to win

Model probability 51% · fair odds

1.97

Expected goals

2.43 – 1.86

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.97X5.1723.35

Goals 2.5Over1.25Under4.72

Both scoreGG1.30NG4.10

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.08

Over 1.5

93%

Over/Under 2.5@1.25

Over 2.5

80%

Both teams to score@1.30

77%

Double chance@1.24

81%

Season stats

1. FC HeidenheimEnergie Cottbus

1.7Goals per game1.8

1.8Conceded per game2.0

1.50Points per game1.00

40%Win rate20%

-1Goal difference-2

3Form, last 5 (pts)3

1. FC Heidenheim form

LDLDW

A Karlsruher SC2–1

H Energie Cottbus1–1

A VfL Wolfsburg3–1

H 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–0

H Würzburger Kickers3–1

Energie Cottbus form

LDDLD

H VfL Bochum1–2

A 1. FC Heidenheim1–1

H 1. FC Nürnberg1–1

A SV Darmstadt 983–1

A Lech Poznan2–2

Head to head

Draw

Energie

Oct 20261. FC Heidenheim – Energie Cottbus1–1

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Hertha BSC10+1528

21. FC Nürnberg10+1121

3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119

41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218

51. FC Magdeburg10+817

61. FC Heidenheim10-115

7Arminia Bielefeld10+114

8FC St. Pauli10012

9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312

10VfL Osnabrück10-311

Match preview

Our model makes 1. FC Heidenheim slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.97 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 4.3 goals in total (2.43 for 1. FC Heidenheim, 1.86 for Energie Cottbus), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

1. FC Heidenheim sit 6th on 15 points; Energie Cottbus are 14th on 10.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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