Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 7Friday, 9 October 2026 · Voith-Arena
1. FC Heidenheim
6th · 15 pts0–0FULL TIME
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4th · 18 pts38% 1.
26% Draw
36% 1.
OUR PICK
1. FC Heidenheim to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.27
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.64X3.7822.81
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.92
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Kaiserslautern1.7Goals per game0.9
1.8Conceded per game0.7
1.50Points per game1.80
40%Win rate50%
-1Goal difference2
3Form, last 5 (pts)10
1. FC Heidenheim form
LDLDWA Karlsruher SC2–1
H Energie Cottbus1–1
A VfL Wolfsburg3–1
H 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–0
H Würzburger Kickers3–1
1. FC Kaiserslautern form
LWWWDH Hertha BSC0–3
A Hannover 960–2
A 1. FC Nürnberg0–1
H VfL Bochum2–0
A 1. FC Heidenheim0–0
Head to head
1
1.
3
Draw
1
1.
Oct 20261. FC Heidenheim – 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–0
Apr 2023FC Kaiserslautern – FC Heidenheim2–2
Sept 2022FC Heidenheim – FC Kaiserslautern2–2
May 2018FC Kaiserslautern – FC Heidenheim1–0
Dec 2017FC Heidenheim – FC Kaiserslautern3–2
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: 1. FC Heidenheim 38%, the draw 26%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.32 for 1. FC Heidenheim, 1.27 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Heidenheim sit 6th on 15 points; 1. FC Kaiserslautern are 4th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.